New Zealand is preparing to face up to 5,300 Covid-19s per week, even with a 90% vaccination rate, in Auckland and Northland neighborhoods alone, according to a Ministry of Health model.
As the country recorded 71 new cases on Thursday, Health Minister Andrew Little reveals plans on how the health system can manage the surge in cases after the current vaccination drive. bottom.
This includes raising the intensive care unit (ICU) bed, preparing to move medical staff to a smaller area in the event of an outbreak, providing preemptive ICU training to nurses, and helping those recovering at home. It will be.
The number of ICUs and Highly Dependent Units (HDUs) is currently about two-thirds of the capacity and 16% of the available ventilators are used. The capacity of ICU and HDU beds nationwide could surge from the current 320-340 bed capacity to 550 beds.
Andrew Connolly, Chief Medical Officer of the Ministry of Health, said the system was well-prepared, but too many would overwhelm any system.
According to Connolly, 0.2-0.4% of Delta patients require ICU care, and other patients may require a “short, sharp burst” of hospital-level care.
High levels of vaccination could lead to a huge number of cases recovering at home in the future, with about 5% requiring hospital treatment, Little said.
GP Jeff Rowe said health officials are currently in the “preparation stage” as the country shifts to virus control within the community. The plan stratifies community cases by risk according to health and housing needs. Some people need oversight from medical services.
To do this effectively depends on the population being vaccinated, Rowe said.
“We have enough supplies and now we have the excellent ability and ability to provide those vaccines. Super Saturday is one of the events for people to get vaccinated.”
He said the vaccine passport would allow the public to participate in the “classical New Zealand summer again”.
As of Thursday, more than 80% of the eligible population, people over the age of 12 have been vaccinated for the first time, and more than 58% have been fully vaccinated.
the government Phase out the exclusion strategy For control methods, push at least 90% of the eligible population to be vaccinated.
“As the Prime Minister said, we are working on this kind of new regime of how to respond to outbreaks and infections,” Little said.
Precautionary measures such as wearing masks and logging areas remain a large part of the strategy.
“But once we reach a level of vaccination that is satisfactory for all population groups, we can relax restrictions, open borders and allow people to move around more freely … there are high levels of vaccination. Only if we know that can we do it safely and responsibly as a government. “
I hardly said that the vaccination rate was going well. “Today I have to say that I am confident that I will reach 90% more than two weeks ago.”
According to New Zealand modeling, Covid cases could reach 5,300 per week in Auckland next year.new Zealand
Source link According to New Zealand modeling, Covid cases could reach 5,300 per week in Auckland next year.new Zealand